Red Sox vs. Nationals Prediction, Odds, Picks – July 6

Updated Jul. 6, 2025 1:00 p.m. ET

Jarren Duran and the Boston Red Sox are set to face James Wood and the Washington Nationals on Sunday at 1:35 p.m. ET jilibet 888. In this matchup, the Nationals are +199 moneyline underdogs while the Red Sox are favored at -246. Boston is also favored on the run line at -1.5. The total for the game has been set at 8 runs.

Here’s everything you need to know regarding the betting aspects of the Red Sox-Nationals game, including the run line, moneyline, total, and expert picks. Follow MLB coverage on FOX Sports.

Red Sox vs. Nationals Game Information & Odds

When: Sunday, July 6, 2025 at 1:35 p.m. ET

Where: Nationals Park in Washington D.C.

How to Watch on TV: MASN and NESN

Favorite	Moneyline	Underdog Moneyline	Total	Over Total Odds	Under Total Odds	Run Line Favorite	Run Line Odds	Underdog Run Line Odds
Red Sox	-246	+199	8	-120	+100	-1.5	-142	+119

Red Sox vs. Nationals Prediction

Score Prediction: Red Sox 6, Nationals 5

Total Prediction: Over 8 runs

Win Probabilities: Red Sox 52%, Nationals 48%

Red Sox vs. Nationals Betting Insights

The Red Sox have been the favorite in 54 games this season, winning 28 of those contests (51.9%). This season, Boston has won three out of four games when favored by at least -246 on the moneyline, suggesting a 71.1% chance of victory according to the bookmakers’ odds.

On the other hand, the Nationals have been underdogs in 73 games this year, winning 33 times (45.2%). Washington’s record is 1-2 in games where they are underdogs at +199 or worse on the moneyline, which gives them an implied victory probability of 33.4% for this matchup.

Red Sox Recent Betting Performance

The Red Sox have a 3-4 record over the last 10 games where they were favored on the moneyline. In these matchups, they combined with their opponents to go over the total in seven out of ten. They are currently 4-6-0 against the spread in their last ten games.

Red Sox Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	5-5
Runs Per Game	6.5
Home Runs	11
ERA	3.84
K/9	7.8

Red Sox Player Insights

Duran is currently batting peso88.ph.255 with 22 doubles, 10 triples, six home runs, and 26 walks. In the MLB, Duran ranks 189th in home runs and 62nd in RBIs. He has recorded a hit in six consecutive games, hitting .237 in his last ten with three doubles, two triples, a home run, five walks, and six RBIs phfun live.

Ceddanne Rafaela leads the team with a batting average of .257. Among all major league hitters, Rafaela is 102nd in home runs and 99th in RBIs. He’s looking for his fourth consecutive game with a hit and is hitting .316 in his last five games. slot jili

Wilyer Abreu has hit 17 home runs and leads the team with a batting average of .257. Trevor Story is also notable as he leads with 51 RBIs and carries a seven-game hitting streak into this matchup, batting .385 over his last ten games.

Red Sox Team Props

Player	Hits O/U	Total Bases O/U	HR O/U	RBI O/U
Trevor Story	0.5 (-240)	1.5 (+110)	–	0.5 (+145)
Roman Anthony	0.5 (-205)	1.5 (+135)	–	0.5 (+185)
Rob Refsnyder	0.5 (-195)	1.5 (+120)	–	0.5 (+155)
Jarren Duran	0.5 (-265)	1.5 (-110)	–	0.5 (+135)
Abraham Toro	0.5 (-260)	1.5 (+125)	–	0.5 (+175)

Nationals Recent Betting Performance

The Nationals have played as underdogs in nine of their previous ten games, winning three times. They have also combined with opponents to hit the over eight times in their last ten games. The Nationals are 6-4-0 against the spread over their last ten games.

Nationals Recent Stats

Stat	Avg/Total
Record	4-6
Runs Per Game	5.4
Home Runs	4
ERA	6.27
K/9	7.3

Nationals Player Insights

Wood leads the Nationals with 23 home runs, 67 RBIs, and boasts a team-best batting average of .288. Among all hitters in the majors, Wood ranks seventh in both homers and RBIs. C.J. sports shop Abrams is batting .286 with 18 doubles, three triples, 12 home runs, and 24 walks, ranking 66th in homers and 137th in RBIs in the league.

Luis Garcia has a batting average of .265 with 19 doubles and seven home runs, while Nathaniel Lowe is hitting .234 with 14 doubles, two triples, and 13 home runs.