Orioles vs. Marlins Prediction, Odds, Picks – July 11

Updated Jul. 11, 2025 7:00 p.m. ET

The Baltimore Orioles, led by Dean Kremer, will face off against the Miami Marlins with Edward Cabrera on the mound this Friday at Oriole Park at Camden Yards. The Orioles are currently favored with a moneyline of -145, while the Marlins come in at +120. Baltimore is also favored on the run line at -1.5, and the over/under for the game is set at 9 runs.

Here’s everything you need to know from a betting perspective about the Orioles-Marlins game, including the run line, moneyline, total, and expert picks. Stay updated with MLB on FOX Sports.

Orioles vs. Marlins Game Information & Odds

When: Friday, July 11, 2025 at 7:05 p.m. ET

Where: Oriole Park at Camden Yards, Baltimore, Maryland

How to watch on TV: MASN and FDSFL

Orioles | -145 | +120 | 9 | -108 | -112 | -1.5 | +146 | -177

Orioles vs. Marlins Prediction

Score Prediction: Orioles 5, Marlins 4

Total Prediction: Under 9 runs

Win Probabilities: Orioles 53%, Marlins 47%

Orioles vs. Marlins Betting Insights

This season, the Orioles have emerged victorious in 22 of their 47 games where they were favored, translating to a win rate of 46.8%. Baltimore has played 12 games this season as favorites of -145 or higher, with a record of 7-5 in those outings. The implied probability of the Orioles winning, based on the moneyline set for this matchup, is 59.2%.

Conversely, the Marlins have been underdogs in 81 games this year, clinching 37 wins (45.7%) in those instances. Miami’s record stands at 26-32 when oddsmakers have favored them at +120 or worse. According to the moneyline set by oddsmakers, the Marlins have an implied victory probability of 45.5%.

Orioles Recent Betting Performance

The Orioles were listed as moneyline favorites by bookmakers just twice in their last 10 games, winning both matchups. In those 10 outings, the Orioles and their opponents combined to hit the over four times. Additionally, Baltimore holds an impressive 8-2-0 record against the spread in their past 10 games.

Orioles Recent Stats

Stat: Avg/Total:

Record: 7-3

Runs Per Game: 4.7

Home Runs: 12

ERA: 3.91

K/9: 9.3

Orioles Player Insights

Ryan O’Hearn is leading the Orioles with a batting average of .284. Across Major League Baseball, O’Hearn ranks 93rd in home runs and 142nd in RBIs. Gunnar Henderson boasts 18 doubles, three triples, 11 home runs, and 31 walks while batting . jili30 online casino277, ranking 93rd in home runs and 151st in RBIs. Henderson is aiming for his fourth consecutive game with a hit, having a .250 average in his last five matches, including a double, home run, and two RBIs.

Cedric Mullins leads the team with 13 home runs and 41 RBIs. Jackson Holliday is batting .260 with 13 doubles, two triples, 12 home runs, and 20 walks.

Orioles Team Props

Hits O/U | Total Bases O/U | HR O/U | RBI O/U

Ryan O’Hearn: 0.5 (-230) | 1.5 (+135) | – | 0.5 (+160)

Jordan Westburg: 0.5 (-255) | 1 tongits go gift code.5 (+115) | – | 0.5 (+175)

Jackson Holliday: 0.5 (-235) | 1.5 (+130) | – | 0.5 (+195)

Gunnar Henderson: 1.5 (+165) | 1.5 (-110) | – | 0.5 (+145)

Dean Kremer: – | – | – | –

Marlins Recent Betting Performance

The Marlins have a 5-4 record in their last 10 games as underdogs. In their recent matchups, Miami and their opponents have a combined record of 2-7-1 in hitting the over. The Marlins are 7-3-0 against the spread over their last 10 games.

Marlins Recent Stats

Stat: Avg/Total:

Record: 5-5

Runs Per Game: 3.6

Home Runs: 9

ERA: 2.76

K/9: 9.2

Marlins Player Insights

Otto Lopez is batting .246 with nine doubles, nine home runs, and 28 walks. He ranks 135th in homers and 72nd in RBIs among all major leaguers. Kyle Stowers has been a reliable power hitter this season, leading his team with 16 home runs and 48 RBIs, ranking 36th in homers and 55th in RBIs across the majors. Agustin Ramirez is hitting .245 with 19 doubles, a triple, 14 home runs, and 18 walks, while Xavier Edwards tops the Marlins with a .288 batting average.